MOSCOW, April 30. / TASS /. Director of the Central Research Institute of Epidemiology of Rospotrebnadzor Vasily Akimkin believes that it is too early to talk about reaching the plateau by the increase in cases of coronavirus infection in Russia. The peak of the spread of infection may occur in mid-May, he said on the Doc-Tok program on Channel One.
“Today we see positive dynamics. <...> This is evidence that delineation measures have a positive effect. Nevertheless, it’s too early to say today that we are on the plateau phase. It is probably better to talk about moderate growth. Most likely, the peak position, in our opinion, will be in mid-May. After mid-May there will be a decrease in the incidence rate, “the expert said.
According to Akimkin, social and natural factors will affect the rate of spread of the new coronavirus. “Today we see the real significance of the social factor in the dispersal of people, the possible absence of contact. We see the fact of a smoothed trend in incidence,” he said.
The natural factor will not be decisive, the expert said. “Nevertheless, its specific gravity in reducing the incidence rate and recording new cases will be,” he continued. “This is natural insolation, sunlight, ultraviolet light, which has a detrimental effect on any microorganism. The average temperature will increase. The factor of population separation will intensify, holidays will begin “
Since the beginning of the pandemic, around 3.1 million people have been infected with coronavirus in the world, more than 210 thousand have died. According to the data of the federal operational headquarters for the fight against coronavirus, 99,999 cases of infection were registered in Russia, 10,286 people recovered, 972 died. The Russian government launched the stopkoronavirus.rf resource to inform about the situation in the country.