Previous note: https://www.salon24.pl/u/anty/1030595,raport-z-madrytu
The flu in the 2017/18 season was extremely nasty
Official statistics say 800,000 cases, 52,000 hospitalizations, 15,000 deaths and 3,000 ICU stays.
The mortality rate was extremely high at 1.5%.
With these 15,000 being only to some extent attributable to influenza, it is estimated that
900 deaths were due to severe cases of influenza.
Thus, mortality was between 0.1% and 1.5%
In 2018, there were 12.6% of deaths from respiratory diseases throughout Spain.
Which gives us about 16 deaths a day.
How does it look today in Madrid?
Deaths in Madrid in March due to respiratory diseases.
We can draw 24-272, 25-290, 26-265 in turn in the above chart
How does the above data relate to the flu?
We can see that the flu in Spain is coming to an end. In week 11 we have about 50 cases per 100,000, which gives us about 1,700 flu patients in Madrid.
– On average in Spain we have 16 deaths due to respiratory diseases a day in Spain, which is consistent with the “yellow” bar from the beginning of March
– On average, we have 127 deaths a day in Spain per day, currently in Madrid 280
– if we have 1,700 patients normally with flu in Madrid, how many of them should be in the ICU? (It's 1221)
So what's going on here?